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FIFA World Cup lobby background

Lobby

FIFA World Cup

Lobby Cap

999,953,137

10%

Transactions

18,916

## FIFA World Cup 2026 prediction markets — every game, every outcome This lobby aggregates every active FIFA World Cup prediction market from Kalshi and Polymarket into one feed. Outright winner futures, group stage markets, knockout round odds, player markets, and tournament prop bets — all tracked and updated in real time through the tournament. ### What's covered - **Outright winner** — tournament winner market across all 48 qualified nations - **Group stage** — group winner and qualification markets for all 12 groups - **Knockout rounds** — round of 32, round of 16, quarter-final, semi-final and final markets - **Player markets** — Messi participation odds, Golden Boot futures, individual player markets - **Tournament props** — host city relocation odds, continent winner markets, Iran participation - **Special markets** — first goal scorer, total goals, VAR decision markets ### How to use this lobby The outright winner market is the highest-volume contract — France and Spain are co-favourites but odds shift dramatically with each group stage result. Group markets are the best early-tournament opportunity: price gaps between platforms on the same group outcome appear regularly in the first week. Player markets like Messi participation move on injury news and squad announcements — follow the feed closely in the week before the tournament starts. This is the biggest prediction market event of 2026 — volume will be unlike anything else on the platform. 95 markets live. Volume peaks during group stage and knockout rounds.

Markets

91

Shown: 8 of 91

Stats

Overall Sentiment

49%

51%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

999,953,137

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

2,441,259

Active Users

38,090

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshimanifoldpolymarket

KXMLBGAME-26MAY161610MIATB-TB

$1,900.85

on

YES

$0.57

KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26MAY16VALMUN-VAL

$1,807.25

on

NO

$0.65

KXMLBGAME-26MAY161510AZCOL-AZ

$1,070.33

on

YES

$0.57

KXMLBRFI-26MAY161510AZCOL

$1,924.56

on

NO

$0.44

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY17CLEDET-DET2

$2,272.06

on

YES

$0.60

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY17CLEDET-DET2

$1,569.99

on

YES

$0.59

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY17CLEDET-DET2

$4,993.17

on

YES

$0.59

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers

$1,079.00

on

NO

$0.52

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers

$1,927.80

on

NO

$0.51

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

$2,553.49

on

NO

$1.00

UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)

$6,600.68

on

NO

$0.47

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

$5,844.82

on

NO

$0.41

KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26MAY16VALMUN-VAL

$1,167.83

on

YES

$0.30

KXWTA-26ROME-SVI

$2,185.30

on

YES

$0.99

KXWTA-26ROME-GAU

$2,033.12

on

NO

$0.97

KXLIGAPORTUGALGAME-26MAY16CDNVIT-VIT

$2,893.11

on

NO

$0.97

KXWTA-26ROME-GAU

$1,500.80

on

NO

$0.97

KXMLBGAME-26MAY161510AZCOL-AZ

$1,456.17

on

YES

$0.57

KXWTA-26ROME-SVI

$2,205.45

on

YES

$0.97

KXWTA-26ROME-SVI

$1,496.85

on

YES

$0.97

The FIFA World Cup lobby covers the 2026 tournament — the biggest single sporting event in prediction market history. Outright winner markets, group stage results, host city markets, and player-specific futures are all live and trading across Kalshi and Polymarket.

France and Spain are co-favourites at 17% each for the outright. Active markets include whether games get relocated away from Mexico, whether Messi plays, and which continent wins the tournament. Group-by-group winner markets are already open — Groups A, C, and H all have live contracts.

The World Cup is hosted across the US, Canada, and Mexico in 2026 — the first 48-team tournament in history. More games means more markets. This lobby will be one of the most active on the platform from June through July.