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Lobby

Trump

Lobby Cap

215,469,925

Transactions

1,762

Stats

Overall Sentiment

23%

77%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

215,469,925

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

1,632,445

Active Users

17,899

Events

8

Market Providers

polymarket

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$2,740.36

on

NO

$0.94

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$1,099.95

on

NO

$0.94

Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$1,032.96

on

NO

$1.00

Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$1,076.91

on

NO

$1.00

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$8,800.00

on

NO

$0.88

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?

$1,890.25

on

YES

$0.95

Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$1,017.98

on

NO

$1.00

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$3,396.80

on

NO

$0.88

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$4,639.43

on

YES

$0.11

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$1,395.54

on

YES

$0.74

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

$1,045.53

on

NO

$1.00

Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$1,217.78

on

NO

$1.00

Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$1,098.90

on

NO

$1.00

Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$1,138.86

on

NO

$1.00

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$17,600.00

on

NO

$0.88

Trump out as President before 2027?

$1,092.00

on

NO

$0.91

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$2,000.00

on

NO

$0.88

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$2,868.37

on

NO

$0.88

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$3,646.48

on

YES

$0.11

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$10,962.00

on

NO

$0.90

Trump is the single most-traded topic in prediction market history. Across Kalshi and Polymarket combined, markets tied to Donald Trump — his policies, legal cases, executive orders, and political future — have generated over $2 billion in trading volume since 2024.

The Trump lobby on Predictions.io aggregates every active Trump-related market from Kalshi and Polymarket into one view. That means tariff policy markets, immigration executive orders, 2026 midterm forecasts, cabinet appointments, legal proceedings, and the long-range 2028 presidential race — all priced side by side so you can see where the platforms agree and where they diverge.

Some of the most actively traded Trump markets right now:

  • Trade & tariff policy — will specific tariff rates hold, get rolled back, or escalate?
  • Executive orders — will courts block key actions?
  • 2026 midterms — Republican vs Democrat seat counts in the House and Senate
  • Trump legal markets — case outcomes, appeal timelines, sentencing questions

Prices update in real time. Follow the whales who've been right on Trump markets before, and track cross-platform spreads as they open.