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Recent trades of $500+ in the last 7 days

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

$510.89

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NO

$0.85

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?

$600.00

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NO

$0.76

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?

$541.76

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NO

$0.66

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?

$1,175.28

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NO

$0.86

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?

$598.58

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NO

$0.80

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?

$1,900.37

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NO

$0.91

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?

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NO

$0.88

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?

$626.11

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NO

$0.91

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026

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YES

$1.00

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026

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YES

$1.00

Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026

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NO

$1.00

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026

$548.10

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NO

$1.00

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026

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NO

$1.00

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026

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YES

$1.00

Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026

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NO

$1.00

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026

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YES

$0.92

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026

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NO

$0.96

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026

$802.39

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YES

$0.89

Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?

$758.63

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YES

$1.00

Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?

$1,843.69

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YES

$1.00

Elon Musk generates more active prediction markets per person than anyone else on the platform. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Manifold, traders are pricing everything from his net worth trajectory to how many tweets he posts in a given month — and the volumes are serious. The trillionaire market alone has crossed $444K in trading volume.

This lobby pulls every live Elon Musk market into one feed — so whether you're tracking his business moves, his political influence, or his latest conflict, the odds are all in one place.

Most active markets right now: his lawsuit against Sam Altman (66% No), Tesla CEO change odds, the Tesla/SpaceX merger rumour, and the monthly tweet count markets which Polymarket runs like clockwork.

polymarketkalshimanifold
86Markets

Elon Musk

The Elon Musk markets are moving. Join the discussion.

SO
soultaker

180d ago

honestly $811B already and he's only 54?? this is hitting 85% way sooner than people think 📈

SO
soultaker

184d ago

lol the ryanair market is barely moving even after all that drama with o'leary calling musk out 😂 like everyone knows he's not actually gonna buy an airline right??