Lobby
Elon Musk
Lobby Cap
94,491,234
18%Transactions
6,534
Markets
83
$222,150
Yes
50%No
50%$128,590
Yes
25%No
75%$122,895
Yes
9%No
89%$119,146
$84,849
Shown: 8 of 83
Stats
Overall Sentiment
48%
52%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
1,318,733
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
169,208
Active Users
10,617
Events
8
Market Providers
Stats
Overall Sentiment
48%
52%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
1,318,733
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
169,208
Active Users
10,617
Events
8
Market Providers
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
$1,100.00
on
YES
$0.64
P
Polymarket
YES
7d ago
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
$1,100.00
on
YES
$0.64
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$4,850.00
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
7d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$4,850.00
on
NO
$0.97
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$1,940.00
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
7d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$1,940.00
on
NO
$0.97
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$100,000.00
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
8d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$100,000.00
on
NO
$0.97
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$2,702.17
on
NO
$0.98
P
Polymarket
NO
9d ago
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$2,702.17
on
NO
$0.98
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
$2,542.55
on
NO
$0.96
P
Polymarket
NO
14d ago
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
$2,542.55
on
NO
$0.96
Will Elon tweet 240-279 times in September 2026?
$4,364.63
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
15d ago
Will Elon tweet 240-279 times in September 2026?
$4,364.63
on
NO
$1.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$9,380.61
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
16d ago
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$9,380.61
on
NO
$0.97
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
$5,300.00
on
YES
$0.80
P
Polymarket
YES
27d ago
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
$5,300.00
on
YES
$0.80
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$210,267.51
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
31d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$210,267.51
on
NO
$0.97
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by August 31, 2026?
$1,433.07
on
NO
$0.99
P
Polymarket
NO
33d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by August 31, 2026?
$1,433.07
on
NO
$0.99
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$1,485.41
on
NO
$0.94
P
Polymarket
NO
35d ago
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$1,485.41
on
NO
$0.94
Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?
$1,958.73
on
YES
$0.88
P
Polymarket
YES
42d ago
Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?
$1,958.73
on
YES
$0.88
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
$1,359.45
on
YES
$0.92
P
Polymarket
YES
42d ago
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
$1,359.45
on
YES
$0.92
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
$1,013.32
on
YES
$0.84
P
Polymarket
YES
42d ago
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
$1,013.32
on
YES
$0.84
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
$2,361.81
on
YES
$0.75
P
Polymarket
YES
42d ago
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
$2,361.81
on
YES
$0.75
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
$2,611.86
on
NO
$0.94
P
Polymarket
NO
96d ago
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
$2,611.86
on
NO
$0.94
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
$31,023.72
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
96d ago
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
$31,023.72
on
NO
$1.00
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$1,002.34
on
NO
$0.89
P
Polymarket
NO
96d ago
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$1,002.34
on
NO
$0.89
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
$15,000.00
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
97d ago
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
$15,000.00
on
NO
$0.97
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
$1,100.00
on
YES
$0.64
P
Polymarket
YES
7d ago
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
$1,100.00
on
YES
$0.64
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$4,850.00
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
7d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$4,850.00
on
NO
$0.97
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$1,940.00
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
7d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$1,940.00
on
NO
$0.97
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$100,000.00
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
8d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$100,000.00
on
NO
$0.97
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$2,702.17
on
NO
$0.98
P
Polymarket
NO
9d ago
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$2,702.17
on
NO
$0.98
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
$2,542.55
on
NO
$0.96
P
Polymarket
NO
14d ago
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
$2,542.55
on
NO
$0.96
Will Elon tweet 240-279 times in September 2026?
$4,364.63
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
15d ago
Will Elon tweet 240-279 times in September 2026?
$4,364.63
on
NO
$1.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$9,380.61
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
16d ago
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$9,380.61
on
NO
$0.97
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
$5,300.00
on
YES
$0.80
P
Polymarket
YES
27d ago
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
$5,300.00
on
YES
$0.80
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$210,267.51
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
31d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
$210,267.51
on
NO
$0.97
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by August 31, 2026?
$1,433.07
on
NO
$0.99
P
Polymarket
NO
33d ago
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by August 31, 2026?
$1,433.07
on
NO
$0.99
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$1,485.41
on
NO
$0.94
P
Polymarket
NO
35d ago
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
$1,485.41
on
NO
$0.94
Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?
$1,958.73
on
YES
$0.88
P
Polymarket
YES
42d ago
Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?
$1,958.73
on
YES
$0.88
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
$1,359.45
on
YES
$0.92
P
Polymarket
YES
42d ago
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
$1,359.45
on
YES
$0.92
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
$1,013.32
on
YES
$0.84
P
Polymarket
YES
42d ago
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
$1,013.32
on
YES
$0.84
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
$2,361.81
on
YES
$0.75
P
Polymarket
YES
42d ago
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
$2,361.81
on
YES
$0.75
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
$2,611.86
on
NO
$0.94
P
Polymarket
NO
96d ago
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
$2,611.86
on
NO
$0.94
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
$31,023.72
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
96d ago
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
$31,023.72
on
NO
$1.00
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$1,002.34
on
NO
$0.89
P
Polymarket
NO
96d ago
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$1,002.34
on
NO
$0.89
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
$15,000.00
on
NO
$0.97
P
Polymarket
NO
97d ago
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
$15,000.00
on
NO
$0.97
Elon Musk generates more active prediction markets per person than anyone else on the platform. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Manifold, traders are pricing everything from his net worth trajectory to how many tweets he posts in a given month — and the volumes are serious. The trillionaire market alone has crossed $444K in trading volume.
This lobby pulls every live Elon Musk market into one feed — so whether you're tracking his business moves, his political influence, or his latest conflict, the odds are all in one place.
Most active markets right now: his lawsuit against Sam Altman (66% No), Tesla CEO change odds, the Tesla/SpaceX merger rumour, and the monthly tweet count markets which Polymarket runs like clockwork.
Elon Musk
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