Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

$129,046 volume on Manifold

Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →

manifold

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

52.3%$0.52

Loading chart...

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? — December 31, 2027 69¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — In 2026 — Above 120 99¢
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? — <5 71¢
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? — Before 2099 — Mars 13¢
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? — Yes 30¢

Selected BetWill Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$129.0K

Yes

52.3%

No

47.7%

No whale trades found for this event.