Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

$128,651 volume on Manifold

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Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

50.6%$0.51

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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? — December 31, 2027 63¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — In 2026 — Above 120 99¢
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? — <5 61¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in October? — In Oct 2026 — Above 6 99¢
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? — Yes 30¢

Selected BetWill Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$128.7K

Yes

50.6%

No

49.4%

No whale trades found for this event.