How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket rules
Related events
- How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026? — In 2026 — 4 61¢ · Same question on Kalshi
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? — December 31, 2027 69¢
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — In 2026 — Above 120 99¢
- Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars? — Yes 52%
- Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? — Before 2099 — Mars 12¢