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Lobby

Trump

Lobby Cap

192,663,329

57%

Transactions

37,107

Stats

Overall Sentiment

49%

51%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

13,466,515

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

1,311,663

Active Users

13,771

Events

8

Market Providers

manifoldpolymarket

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

$1,464.07

on

NO

$0.98

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

$1,380.90

on

NO

$0.97

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$1,296.00

on

NO

$0.98

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$3,829.59

on

NO

$0.96

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

$4,854.38

on

NO

$0.91

What will Donald Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

$1,332.80

on

YES

$0.98

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$1,080.54

on

NO

$0.63

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?

$1,956.48

on

YES

$0.98

What will Donald Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

$1,677.13

on

YES

$0.97

Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?

$5,000.00

on

NO

$0.87

Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?

$1,051.98

on

NO

$1.00

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$1,167.76

on

YES

$0.06

Trump out as President before 2027?

$1,000.00

on

NO

$0.95

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$1,844.70

on

NO

$0.92

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$43,707.18

on

NO

$0.93

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$143,398.45

on

NO

$0.92

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$10,636.41

on

NO

$0.92

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$1,134.59

on

NO

$0.91

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$1,000.00

on

YES

$0.10

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$1,000.00

on

YES

$0.35

Trump is the single most-traded topic in prediction market history. Across Kalshi and Polymarket combined, markets tied to Donald Trump — his policies, legal cases, executive orders, and political future — have generated over $2 billion in trading volume since 2024.

The Trump lobby on Predictions.io aggregates every active Trump-related market from Kalshi and Polymarket into one view. That means tariff policy markets, immigration executive orders, 2026 midterm forecasts, cabinet appointments, legal proceedings, and the long-range 2028 presidential race — all priced side by side so you can see where the platforms agree and where they diverge.

Some of the most actively traded Trump markets right now:

  • Trade & tariff policy — will specific tariff rates hold, get rolled back, or escalate?
  • Executive orders — will courts block key actions?
  • 2026 midterms — Republican vs Democrat seat counts in the House and Senate
  • Trump legal markets — case outcomes, appeal timelines, sentencing questions

Prices update in real time. Follow the whales who've been right on Trump markets before, and track cross-platform spreads as they open.

polymarketmanifold
131Markets

Trump

The Trump markets are moving. Join the discussion.

SO
soultaker

172d ago

wait is anyone else surprised the impeachment odds are still only 12% with all this chaos going on?? 👀

SO
soultaker

179d ago

wait he literally just said "it's not going to be me" for 2028 but that third term market is still at 15%? 👀