Lobby
Economics
Lobby Cap
3,178,769
Transactions
23,101
Markets
64
Yes
12%No
89%
Shown: 8 of 64
Stats
Overall Sentiment
37%
63%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
3,178,769
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
248,441
Active Users
13,411
Events
8
Market Providers
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Stats
Overall Sentiment
37%
63%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
3,178,769
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
248,441
Active Users
13,411
Events
8
Market Providers
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$3,231.13
on
NO
$0.81
K
Kalshi
NO
12d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$3,231.13
on
NO
$0.81
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$1,030.18
on
NO
$0.21
K
Kalshi
NO
12d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$1,030.18
on
NO
$0.21
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$4,000.00
on
YES
$0.80
K
Kalshi
YES
12d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$4,000.00
on
YES
$0.80
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$16,322.03
on
YES
$0.80
K
Kalshi
YES
12d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$16,322.03
on
YES
$0.80
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$9,034.74
on
NO
$0.99
K
Kalshi
NO
13d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$9,034.74
on
NO
$0.99
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$12,596.89
on
NO
$0.99
K
Kalshi
NO
13d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$12,596.89
on
NO
$0.99
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$49,950.00
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$49,950.00
on
YES
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,104.45
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,104.45
on
YES
$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,976.38
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,976.38
on
NO
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$6,000.00
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$6,000.00
on
YES
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$3,000.00
on
NO
$0.00
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$3,000.00
on
NO
$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$10,482.97
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$10,482.97
on
YES
$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,016.96
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,016.96
on
NO
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,542,550.48
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,542,550.48
on
YES
$1.00
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$2,025.00
on
YES
$0.90
K
Kalshi
YES
13d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$2,025.00
on
YES
$0.90
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$8,531.46
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$8,531.46
on
NO
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,000.00
on
NO
$0.01
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,000.00
on
NO
$0.01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,049.78
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,049.78
on
YES
$1.00
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$4,950.00
on
NO
$0.99
K
Kalshi
NO
14d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$4,950.00
on
NO
$0.99
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,080.00
on
YES
$0.00
P
Polymarket
YES
14d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,080.00
on
YES
$0.00
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$3,231.13
on
NO
$0.81
K
Kalshi
NO
12d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$3,231.13
on
NO
$0.81
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$1,030.18
on
NO
$0.21
K
Kalshi
NO
12d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$1,030.18
on
NO
$0.21
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$4,000.00
on
YES
$0.80
K
Kalshi
YES
12d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$4,000.00
on
YES
$0.80
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$16,322.03
on
YES
$0.80
K
Kalshi
YES
12d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$16,322.03
on
YES
$0.80
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$9,034.74
on
NO
$0.99
K
Kalshi
NO
13d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$9,034.74
on
NO
$0.99
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$12,596.89
on
NO
$0.99
K
Kalshi
NO
13d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$12,596.89
on
NO
$0.99
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$49,950.00
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$49,950.00
on
YES
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,104.45
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,104.45
on
YES
$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,976.38
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,976.38
on
NO
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$6,000.00
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$6,000.00
on
YES
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$3,000.00
on
NO
$0.00
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$3,000.00
on
NO
$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$10,482.97
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$10,482.97
on
YES
$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,016.96
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,016.96
on
NO
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,542,550.48
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,542,550.48
on
YES
$1.00
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$2,025.00
on
YES
$0.90
K
Kalshi
YES
13d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$2,025.00
on
YES
$0.90
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$8,531.46
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$8,531.46
on
NO
$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,000.00
on
NO
$0.01
P
Polymarket
NO
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,000.00
on
NO
$0.01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,049.78
on
YES
$1.00
P
Polymarket
YES
13d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,049.78
on
YES
$1.00
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$4,950.00
on
NO
$0.99
K
Kalshi
NO
14d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
$4,950.00
on
NO
$0.99
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,080.00
on
YES
$0.00
P
Polymarket
YES
14d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$1,080.00
on
YES
$0.00
The Economics lobby tracks real-money forecasts on the US and global economy — Federal Reserve rate decisions, recession probability, inflation milestones, and GDP outcomes — aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket into one feed.
The most active markets right now: Fed decision in April and June — with traders pricing the probability of cuts, pauses, and hikes across the remainder of 2026. The US recession market is also live, with traders betting on whether the economy tips into contraction by end of year. Fed decision markets resolve monthly, giving economics-focused traders a consistent cycle of high-conviction opportunities.
This lobby attracts macro traders, fixed income professionals, and economists who follow Fed communications and economic data releases closely.
