Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026
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How this market resolves
Rules for the outcome “Fed maintains rate”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
Price movement
"Fed maintains rate" last traded at 82¢ on Kalshi, up 28 points over the past 7 days. Last synced 16:05 UTC on Oct 7, 2026.
"Hike 25bps" last traded at 17¢ on Kalshi, down 25 points over the past 7 days. Last synced 16:05 UTC on Oct 7, 2026.
Prices are the venue's latest synced snapshot, not a quote we hold. Moves are measured from stored price history.
Related events
- Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 21¢
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 96¢
- S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 7,800 to 7,999.99 21¢
- Recession this year? — In 2026 — Starts 4¢
- US recession by end of 2026? — Yes 7¢
