Will there be a worldwide recession before 2029?

$4,466 volume on Manifold

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Will there be a worldwide recession before 2029?

26.7%$0.27

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Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 21¢
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 95¢
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 85¢
S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 8,000 to 8,199.99 23¢
Recession this year? — In 2026 — Starts 5¢

Selected BetWill there be a worldwide recession before 2029?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$4.5K

Yes

26.7%

No

73.3%

No whale trades found for this event.