Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?
$18,823 volume
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?
25.3%$0.25
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Selected BetWill Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?
M
Trading via ManifoldMarket Volume$18.8K
Yes
No