Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

$45,304 volume on Manifold

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Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

65.8%$0.66

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Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 21¢
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 95¢
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 85¢
S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 8,000 to 8,199.99 23¢
Recession this year? — In 2026 — Starts 5¢

Selected BetWill China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$45.3K

Yes

65.8%

No

34.2%

No whale trades found for this event.