Will California be in the top 5 economies in the world in 2027?
$1,698 volume on Manifold
Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →
Will California be in the top 5 economies in the world in 2027?
83.6%$0.84
Loading chart...
How this market resolves
Context: California Remains the World’s 5th Largest Economy California remains the 5th largest economy in the world since 2017. At any point in the year 2027, will the GDP of California be larger than the 5th largest country’s GDP?
Source: Manifold rules
Related events
- Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 21¢
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 95¢
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 84¢
- S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 8,000 to 8,199.99 23¢
- Recession this year? — In 2026 — Starts 4¢
Selected BetWill California be in the top 5 economies in the world in 2027?
M
Trading via ManifoldMarket Volume$1.7K
Yes
No