Fed rate cut before 2027? — Before 2027
$1,455,007 volume on Kalshi
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Cuts
4.1%$0.04
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How this market resolves
If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
Related events
- Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 21¢
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 95¢
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 84¢
- S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 8,000 to 8,199.99 23¢
- Recession this year? — In 2026 — Starts 4¢
Selected BetCutsTrading via Kalshi
Market Volume$1.46M
Yes
No