How high will inflation get this year? — In 2026
$562,482 volume on Kalshi
Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →
Loading chart...
How this market resolves
Rules for the outcome “At least 4.5%”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
Related events
- Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 21¢
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 95¢
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 84¢
- S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 8,000 to 8,199.99 23¢
- Recession this year? — In 2026 — Starts 4¢
Selected BetAt least 4.5%
Trading via Kalshi
Market Volume$365.4K
Yes
No