Government spending increase in 2026 — Before 2027
$11,061 volume on Kalshi
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How this market resolves
Rules for the outcome “At least $1 billion”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.
If government spending increases by at least $1 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
Related events
- Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 21¢
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 95¢
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 85¢
- S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 8,000 to 8,199.99 23¢
- Recession this year? — In 2026 — Starts 5¢
Selected BetAt least $1 billion
Trading via Kalshi
Market Volume$62
Yes
No