Yes
94%No
6%

Lobby
Lobby Cap
132,774,281
4%Transactions
35,995
Yes
94%No
6%Yes
51%No
49%Yes
8%No
92%Yes
4%No
96%Shown: 8 of 238
Overall Sentiment
37%
63%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
13,436,191
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
1,068,801
Active Users
6,666
Events
8
Market Providers
Overall Sentiment
37%
63%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
13,436,191
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
1,068,801
Active Users
6,666
Events
8
Market Providers
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$1,000.00
on
YES
$0.10
Polymarket
9h ago
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$1,000.00
on
YES
$0.10
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,924.00
on
NO
$0.96
Polymarket
16h ago
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,924.00
on
NO
$0.96
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
$5,168.80
on
NO
$0.99
Kalshi
1d ago
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
$5,168.80
on
NO
$0.99
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,011.17
on
NO
$0.96
Polymarket
2d ago
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,011.17
on
NO
$0.96
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$3,654.73
on
NO
$1.00
Polymarket
5d ago
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$3,654.73
on
NO
$1.00
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
$1,677.41
on
YES
$0.98
Polymarket
8d ago
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
$1,677.41
on
YES
$0.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$4,102.02
on
YES
$0.70
Polymarket
8d ago
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$4,102.02
on
YES
$0.70
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
$3,207.93
on
YES
$0.97
Polymarket
10d ago
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
$3,207.93
on
YES
$0.97
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$4,312.04
on
NO
$0.74
Polymarket
10d ago
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$4,312.04
on
NO
$0.74
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$2,273.87
on
NO
$0.95
Polymarket
10d ago
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$2,273.87
on
NO
$0.95
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,400.00
on
YES
$0.66
Polymarket
11d ago
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,400.00
on
YES
$0.66
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$1,138.86
on
NO
$1.00
Kalshi
14d ago
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$1,138.86
on
NO
$1.00
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$9,920.00
on
NO
$0.99
Kalshi
15d ago
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$9,920.00
on
NO
$0.99
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$2,343.58
on
NO
$0.95
Kalshi
15d ago
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$2,343.58
on
NO
$0.95
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$1,032.00
on
NO
$0.86
Polymarket
17d ago
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$1,032.00
on
NO
$0.86
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$8,285.88
on
NO
$0.81
Polymarket
17d ago
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$8,285.88
on
NO
$0.81
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,403.17
on
NO
$0.89
Polymarket
18d ago
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,403.17
on
NO
$0.89
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$1,101.80
on
NO
$0.99
Polymarket
18d ago
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$1,101.80
on
NO
$0.99
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,064.55
on
YES
$0.63
Polymarket
19d ago
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,064.55
on
YES
$0.63
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$1,761.97
on
YES
$0.50
Polymarket
19d ago
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$1,761.97
on
YES
$0.50
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$1,000.00
on
YES
$0.10
Polymarket
9h ago
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$1,000.00
on
YES
$0.10
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,924.00
on
NO
$0.96
Polymarket
16h ago
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,924.00
on
NO
$0.96
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
$5,168.80
on
NO
$0.99
Kalshi
1d ago
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
$5,168.80
on
NO
$0.99
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,011.17
on
NO
$0.96
Polymarket
2d ago
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$1,011.17
on
NO
$0.96
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$3,654.73
on
NO
$1.00
Polymarket
5d ago
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$3,654.73
on
NO
$1.00
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
$1,677.41
on
YES
$0.98
Polymarket
8d ago
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
$1,677.41
on
YES
$0.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$4,102.02
on
YES
$0.70
Polymarket
8d ago
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$4,102.02
on
YES
$0.70
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
$3,207.93
on
YES
$0.97
Polymarket
10d ago
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
$3,207.93
on
YES
$0.97
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$4,312.04
on
NO
$0.74
Polymarket
10d ago
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$4,312.04
on
NO
$0.74
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$2,273.87
on
NO
$0.95
Polymarket
10d ago
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$2,273.87
on
NO
$0.95
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,400.00
on
YES
$0.66
Polymarket
11d ago
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,400.00
on
YES
$0.66
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$1,138.86
on
NO
$1.00
Kalshi
14d ago
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$1,138.86
on
NO
$1.00
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$9,920.00
on
NO
$0.99
Kalshi
15d ago
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$9,920.00
on
NO
$0.99
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$2,343.58
on
NO
$0.95
Kalshi
15d ago
Best AI in Dec 2026?
$2,343.58
on
NO
$0.95
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$1,032.00
on
NO
$0.86
Polymarket
17d ago
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$1,032.00
on
NO
$0.86
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$8,285.88
on
NO
$0.81
Polymarket
17d ago
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$8,285.88
on
NO
$0.81
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,403.17
on
NO
$0.89
Polymarket
18d ago
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,403.17
on
NO
$0.89
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$1,101.80
on
NO
$0.99
Polymarket
18d ago
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
$1,101.80
on
NO
$0.99
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,064.55
on
YES
$0.63
Polymarket
19d ago
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$1,064.55
on
YES
$0.63
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$1,761.97
on
YES
$0.50
Polymarket
19d ago
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$1,761.97
on
YES
$0.50
The Tech & AI lobby covers the most forward-looking markets on the platform — AI model races, company milestone bets, IPO timelines, and long-range forecasts on artificial intelligence. $32.9M in volume and growing fast as the AI competitive landscape intensifies in 2026.
The hottest market right now: OpenAI $1T+ IPO before 2027 — one of the most debated markets on the platform. Close behind: which company's AI first hits 1550 on Chatbot Arena, whether OpenAI leads the AGI race by end of 2026, and which company has the best model each quarter. There are also live existential markets — AI wiping out humanity before 2030 and before 2100.
These markets attract researchers, engineers, and AI-adjacent investors who follow model releases and benchmark results closely. The crowd here is unusually well-informed.
The Tech & AI markets are moving. Join the discussion.
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