Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

$1,718,067 volume on Manifold

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Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

7.9%$0.08

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Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Gemini 62¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 42%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 7%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Google 65¢

Selected BetWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$1.72M

Yes

7.9%

No

92.1%

No whale trades found for this event.