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Global Markets lobby background

Lobby

Global Markets

Lobby Cap

6,003,860

Transactions

3,309

Stats

Overall Sentiment

34%

66%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

6,003,860

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

91,549,381

Active Users

393

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshimanifoldpolymarket

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$1,240.69

on

YES

$0.69

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$1,272.11

on

YES

$0.49

Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

$2,300.00

on

YES

$0.23

Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

$8,052.40

on

NO

$0.82

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,964.03

on

NO

$0.99

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$5,070.09

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$3,407.14

on

NO

$0.85

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$2,021.88

on

NO

$0.98

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$3,541.31

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$3,607.08

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,078.68

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,380.04

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,976.91

on

NO

$0.99

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$3,644.73

on

NO

$0.99

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,043.07

on

NO

$0.99

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$1,890.61

on

NO

$1.00

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$1,011.89

on

NO

$1.00

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$2,040.14

on

NO

$1.00

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$3,881.46

on

NO

$1.00

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$48,777.65

on

NO

$1.00

The Global Markets lobby tracks prediction market odds on trade policy, tariffs, and international economic decisions — the most directly market-moving political category outside of elections. All markets source from Kalshi and Polymarket.

The biggest markets right now: Will the Supreme Court rule in favour of Trump's tariffs, Will tariffs generate $250B+ in 2025, Will the Court force Trump to refund tariffs, and which countries Trump makes new trade deals with before 2027. The US trade deficit for 2026 is also actively traded with multiple price brackets open.

Trade policy markets move with every court ruling, negotiation announcement, and executive order. This is where macro traders and international business professionals put real money on the outcomes moving global supply chains.