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Lobby

Global Markets

Lobby Cap

114,811,562

Transactions

24,601

Markets

132

Shown: 8 of 132

Stats

Overall Sentiment

46%

54%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

2,006

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

966

Active Users

969

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshi

Recent trades of $500+ in the last 7 days

Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 9, 2026 at 4pm ET?

$672.00

on

NO

$0.32

Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$594.00

on

YES

$0.99

Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$60,981.84

on

YES

$0.72

Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$5,600.00

on

NO

$0.56

Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$5,000.00

on

NO

$0.50

Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$500.27

on

YES

$0.53

Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?

$3,106.96

on

NO

$0.71

Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$560.00

on

YES

$0.70

Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$582.40

on

YES

$0.56

Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$676.00

on

YES

$0.65

Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$759.20

on

YES

$0.73

Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$47,362.23

on

NO

$0.61

Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$554.68

on

NO

$0.49

Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

$12,185.17

on

YES

$0.31

Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$1,500.00

on

NO

$0.75

Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 11am EDT?

$1,444.11

on

YES

$0.62

Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$850.00

on

YES

$0.85

Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?

$18,945.60

on

YES

$0.60

Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?

$3,040.00

on

NO

$0.38

Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$632.40

on

YES

$0.93

The Global Markets lobby tracks prediction market odds on trade policy, tariffs, and international economic decisions — the most directly market-moving political category outside of elections. All markets source from Kalshi and Polymarket.

The biggest markets right now: Will the Supreme Court rule in favour of Trump's tariffs, Will tariffs generate $250B+ in 2025, Will the Court force Trump to refund tariffs, and which countries Trump makes new trade deals with before 2027. The US trade deficit for 2026 is also actively traded with multiple price brackets open.

Trade policy markets move with every court ruling, negotiation announcement, and executive order. This is where macro traders and international business professionals put real money on the outcomes moving global supply chains.

kalshi
132Markets

Global Markets

The Global Markets markets are moving. Join the discussion.

MA
martking

185d ago

wait this already happened right? court struck it down friday but the market's still basically 50/50

MA
martking

188d ago

lol those two markets about the supreme court ruling are basically identical but have different odds. easy money if you can arb that