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Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?

$701 volume
manifold
Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?
10.9%$0.11
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Selected BetWill a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?
M
Trading via Manifold
Market Volume$701
Yes
10.9%
No
89.1%
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