Which countries will have a recession before 2027? — Before 2027
$179,476 volume on Kalshi
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How this market resolves
Rules for the outcome “China”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.
If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
Related events
- Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 19¢
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 97¢
- S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 7,600 to 7,799.99 18¢
- Fed decision in Dec 2026? — On Dec 9, 2026 — Hike 25bps 77¢
- Recession this year? — In 2026 — Starts 2¢
Selected BetChina
Trading via Kalshi
Market Volume$34.7K
Yes
No