US real GDP growth in 2026? — 2026
$408,297 volume on Kalshi
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How this market resolves
Rules for the outcome “2.1% to 2.5%”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is between 2.1% to 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
Related events
- Negative GDP growth in 2026? — Yes 2¢ · Same question on Polymarket
- Will the Citrini scenario happen? — Before July 2028 — Yes 21¢
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 95¢
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 84¢
- S&P close price end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST — 8,000 to 8,199.99 23¢
Selected Bet2.1% to 2.5%
Trading via Kalshi
Market Volume$36.8K
Yes
No