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Tech & AI lobby background

Lobby

Tech & AI

Lobby Cap

133,098,561

2%

Transactions

36,082

Markets

239

Shown: 8 of 239

Stats

Overall Sentiment

57%

43%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

5,116

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

8,020

Active Users

6,666

Events

8

Market Providers

manifold

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$1,013.71

on

NO

$0.94

AI bubble burst in 2026?

$1,252.88

on

NO

$0.89

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$1,000.00

on

YES

$0.10

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

$1,924.00

on

NO

$0.96

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?

$5,168.80

on

NO

$0.99

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

$1,011.17

on

NO

$0.96

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

$3,654.73

on

NO

$1.00

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?

$1,677.41

on

YES

$0.98

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

$4,102.02

on

YES

$0.70

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

$3,207.93

on

YES

$0.97

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$4,312.04

on

NO

$0.74

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

$2,273.87

on

NO

$0.95

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

$1,400.00

on

YES

$0.66

Best AI in Dec 2026?

$1,138.86

on

NO

$1.00

Best AI in Dec 2026?

$9,920.00

on

NO

$0.99

Best AI in Dec 2026?

$2,343.58

on

NO

$0.95

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$1,032.00

on

NO

$0.86

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$8,285.88

on

NO

$0.81

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

$1,403.17

on

NO

$0.89

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

$1,101.80

on

NO

$0.99

The Tech & AI lobby covers the most forward-looking markets on the platform — AI model races, company milestone bets, IPO timelines, and long-range forecasts on artificial intelligence. $32.9M in volume and growing fast as the AI competitive landscape intensifies in 2026.

The hottest market right now: OpenAI $1T+ IPO before 2027 — one of the most debated markets on the platform. Close behind: which company's AI first hits 1550 on Chatbot Arena, whether OpenAI leads the AGI race by end of 2026, and which company has the best model each quarter. There are also live existential markets — AI wiping out humanity before 2030 and before 2100.

These markets attract researchers, engineers, and AI-adjacent investors who follow model releases and benchmark results closely. The crowd here is unusually well-informed.

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239Markets

Tech & AI

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