Lobby

Science & Health

Lobby Cap

22,055,010

484%

Transactions

5,563

Lobby

Science & Health

Hot right now

Manifold

Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

Yes

$33.38K Vol

36%

$33.38K Vol

64%

$33,375

Markets

Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

Yes

36%

64%

$33,375

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Yes

25%

75%

$29,217

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? — Before 2050

Yes

28%

71%

$25,167

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Before 2050

Yes

34%

66%

$16,170

Does Nectome's preservation protocol work?

Yes

49%

51%

$11,603

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033? — Before 2033

Yes

38%

61%

$9,832

Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD? — MDMA for PTSD

Before Jan 1, 203258%

Before Jan 1, 203153%

$8,674

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

Yes

40%

60%

$4,104

Shown: 8 of 38

Stats

Overall Sentiment

40%

60%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

138,141

Transactions Amount

Open Interest

67,102

Active Users

2,260

Events

Market Providers

Stats

Overall Sentiment

40%

60%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

138,141

Transactions Amount

Open Interest

67,102

Active Users

2,260

Events

Market Providers

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$2,957.70

YES

$0.87

Polymarket

YES

6d ago

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$2,957.70

YES

$0.87

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,375.90

$0.97

Polymarket

14d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,375.90

$0.97

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$2,058.88

$0.96

Polymarket

20d ago

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$2,058.88

$0.96

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$3,375.04

$0.96

Polymarket

33d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$3,375.04

$0.96

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,181.81

$0.96

Polymarket

34d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,181.81

$0.96

Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

$1,638.29

YES

$1.00

Polymarket

YES

37d ago

Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

$1,638.29

YES

$1.00

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,235.19

$0.96

Polymarket

40d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,235.19

$0.96

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

$1,298.70

YES

$1.00

Polymarket

YES

43d ago

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

$1,298.70

YES

$1.00

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

$1,576.68

YES

$0.24

Polymarket

YES

44d ago

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

$1,576.68

YES

$0.24

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$7,177.71

$0.96

Polymarket

46d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$7,177.71

$0.96

Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?

$3,330.67

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?

$3,330.67

$1.00

Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$2,779.22

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$2,779.22

$1.00

Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,802.20

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,802.20

$1.00

Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,998.00

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,998.00

$1.00

Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,147.70

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,147.70

$1.00

Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,306.24

YES

$0.99

Polymarket

YES

46d ago

Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,306.24

YES

$0.99

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$5,296.95

$0.97

Polymarket

56d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$5,296.95

$0.97

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$1,177.73

$0.89

Polymarket

56d ago

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$1,177.73

$0.89

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$1,263.99

$0.91

Polymarket

68d ago

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$1,263.99

$0.91

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

$1,600.00

$0.80

Kalshi

81d ago

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

$1,600.00

$0.80

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$2,957.70

YES

$0.87

Polymarket

YES

6d ago

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$2,957.70

YES

$0.87

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,375.90

$0.97

Polymarket

14d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,375.90

$0.97

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$2,058.88

$0.96

Polymarket

20d ago

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$2,058.88

$0.96

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$3,375.04

$0.96

Polymarket

33d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$3,375.04

$0.96

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,181.81

$0.96

Polymarket

34d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,181.81

$0.96

Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

$1,638.29

YES

$1.00

Polymarket

YES

37d ago

Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

$1,638.29

YES

$1.00

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,235.19

$0.96

Polymarket

40d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1,235.19

$0.96

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

$1,298.70

YES

$1.00

Polymarket

YES

43d ago

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

$1,298.70

YES

$1.00

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

$1,576.68

YES

$0.24

Polymarket

YES

44d ago

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

$1,576.68

YES

$0.24

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$7,177.71

$0.96

Polymarket

46d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$7,177.71

$0.96

Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?

$3,330.67

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?

$3,330.67

$1.00

Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$2,779.22

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$2,779.22

$1.00

Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,802.20

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,802.20

$1.00

Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,998.00

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,998.00

$1.00

Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,147.70

$1.00

Polymarket

46d ago

Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,147.70

$1.00

Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,306.24

YES

$0.99

Polymarket

YES

46d ago

Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?

$1,306.24

YES

$0.99

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$5,296.95

$0.97

Polymarket

56d ago

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$5,296.95

$0.97

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$1,177.73

$0.89

Polymarket

56d ago

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$1,177.73

$0.89

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$1,263.99

$0.91

Polymarket

68d ago

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

$1,263.99

$0.91

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

$1,600.00

$0.80

Kalshi

81d ago

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

$1,600.00

$0.80

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