Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

$33,425 volume on Manifold

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Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

34.0%$0.34

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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — ↑5.5k 99¢
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? — Yes 27%
Will chess be solved by 2040? — Yes 25%
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030? — Yes 10%
Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040? — Yes 85%

Selected BetIs the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$33.4K

Yes

34.0%

No

66.0%

No whale trades found for this event.