Lobby
Global Markets
Lobby Cap
114,823,299
Transactions
24,604
Markets
132
$1,680
$1,600
$1,503
$1,410
$1,220
$1,204
Shown: 8 of 132
Stats
Overall Sentiment
99%
1%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
11,748
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
129,415
Active Users
969
Events
8
Market Providers
Stats
Overall Sentiment
99%
1%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
11,748
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
129,415
Active Users
969
Events
8
Market Providers
Recent trades of $500+ in the last 7 days
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 9, 2026 at 4pm ET?
$672.00
on
NO
$0.32
K
Kalshi
NO
2d ago
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 9, 2026 at 4pm ET?
$672.00
on
NO
$0.32
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$594.00
on
YES
$0.99
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$594.00
on
YES
$0.99
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$60,981.84
on
YES
$0.72
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$60,981.84
on
YES
$0.72
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$5,600.00
on
NO
$0.56
K
Kalshi
NO
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$5,600.00
on
NO
$0.56
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$5,000.00
on
NO
$0.50
K
Kalshi
NO
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$5,000.00
on
NO
$0.50
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$500.27
on
YES
$0.53
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$500.27
on
YES
$0.53
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
$3,106.96
on
NO
$0.71
K
Kalshi
NO
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
$3,106.96
on
NO
$0.71
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$560.00
on
YES
$0.70
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$560.00
on
YES
$0.70
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$582.40
on
YES
$0.56
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$582.40
on
YES
$0.56
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$676.00
on
YES
$0.65
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$676.00
on
YES
$0.65
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$759.20
on
YES
$0.73
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$759.20
on
YES
$0.73
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$47,362.23
on
NO
$0.61
K
Kalshi
NO
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$47,362.23
on
NO
$0.61
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$554.68
on
NO
$0.49
K
Kalshi
NO
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$554.68
on
NO
$0.49
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
$12,185.17
on
YES
$0.31
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
$12,185.17
on
YES
$0.31
Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$1,500.00
on
NO
$0.75
K
Kalshi
NO
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$1,500.00
on
NO
$0.75
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 11am EDT?
$1,444.11
on
YES
$0.62
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 11am EDT?
$1,444.11
on
YES
$0.62
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$850.00
on
YES
$0.85
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$850.00
on
YES
$0.85
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$18,945.60
on
YES
$0.60
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$18,945.60
on
YES
$0.60
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$3,040.00
on
NO
$0.38
K
Kalshi
NO
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$3,040.00
on
NO
$0.38
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$632.40
on
YES
$0.93
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$632.40
on
YES
$0.93
Recent trades of $500+ in the last 7 days
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 9, 2026 at 4pm ET?
$672.00
on
NO
$0.32
K
Kalshi
NO
2d ago
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 9, 2026 at 4pm ET?
$672.00
on
NO
$0.32
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$594.00
on
YES
$0.99
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$594.00
on
YES
$0.99
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$60,981.84
on
YES
$0.72
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$60,981.84
on
YES
$0.72
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$5,600.00
on
NO
$0.56
K
Kalshi
NO
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$5,600.00
on
NO
$0.56
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$5,000.00
on
NO
$0.50
K
Kalshi
NO
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$5,000.00
on
NO
$0.50
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$500.27
on
YES
$0.53
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$500.27
on
YES
$0.53
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
$3,106.96
on
NO
$0.71
K
Kalshi
NO
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
$3,106.96
on
NO
$0.71
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$560.00
on
YES
$0.70
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$560.00
on
YES
$0.70
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$582.40
on
YES
$0.56
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$582.40
on
YES
$0.56
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$676.00
on
YES
$0.65
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$676.00
on
YES
$0.65
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$759.20
on
YES
$0.73
K
Kalshi
YES
4d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$759.20
on
YES
$0.73
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$47,362.23
on
NO
$0.61
K
Kalshi
NO
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$47,362.23
on
NO
$0.61
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$554.68
on
NO
$0.49
K
Kalshi
NO
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$554.68
on
NO
$0.49
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
$12,185.17
on
YES
$0.31
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
$12,185.17
on
YES
$0.31
Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$1,500.00
on
NO
$0.75
K
Kalshi
NO
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$1,500.00
on
NO
$0.75
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 11am EDT?
$1,444.11
on
YES
$0.62
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 11am EDT?
$1,444.11
on
YES
$0.62
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$850.00
on
YES
$0.85
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$850.00
on
YES
$0.85
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$18,945.60
on
YES
$0.60
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$18,945.60
on
YES
$0.60
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$3,040.00
on
NO
$0.38
K
Kalshi
NO
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$3,040.00
on
NO
$0.38
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$632.40
on
YES
$0.93
K
Kalshi
YES
5d ago
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$632.40
on
YES
$0.93
The Global Markets lobby tracks prediction market odds on trade policy, tariffs, and international economic decisions — the most directly market-moving political category outside of elections. All markets source from Kalshi and Polymarket.
The biggest markets right now: Will the Supreme Court rule in favour of Trump's tariffs, Will tariffs generate $250B+ in 2025, Will the Court force Trump to refund tariffs, and which countries Trump makes new trade deals with before 2027. The US trade deficit for 2026 is also actively traded with multiple price brackets open.
Trade policy markets move with every court ruling, negotiation announcement, and executive order. This is where macro traders and international business professionals put real money on the outcomes moving global supply chains.
Global Markets
The Global Markets markets are moving. Join the discussion.