Logo
2028 Presidential Election lobby background

Lobby

2028 Presidential Election

Lobby Cap

3,255,834,407

63%

Transactions

300,437

Stats

Overall Sentiment

28%

72%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

3,172,836

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

718,907

Active Users

66,779

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshimanifold

Recent trades of $500+ in the last 7 days

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$548.34

on

YES

$0.13

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$1,034.15

on

YES

$0.13

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

$790.00

on

YES

$0.79

Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$1,663.03

on

NO

$0.96

Will Joe Kent be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

$14,083.06

on

NO

$0.98

Will Joe Kent be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

$980.00

on

NO

$0.98

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$894.41

on

NO

$0.88

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$2,610.00

on

NO

$0.87

Who will win the next presidential election?

$1,345.14

on

NO

$0.90

Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

$13,714.15

on

NO

$0.98

Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$1,443.00

on

NO

$0.96

Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

$699.48

on

NO

$0.99

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

$570.00

on

YES

$0.57

Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$2,217.20

on

NO

$0.96

Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$4,820.00

on

NO

$0.96

Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$5,019.97

on

NO

$0.96

Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$1,419.23

on

NO

$0.96

Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$964.00

on

NO

$0.96

Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$965.00

on

NO

$0.97

Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$950.75

on

YES

$0.26

The 2028 Presidential Election lobby is already one of the most actively traded long-range markets on the platform. With the 2026 midterms shaping the political landscape, traders are positioning years ahead of Election Day — and the markets are already pricing serious candidates on both sides.

Democrats lead 61% to 39% for the party win outright. On the ticket markets, Gavin Newsom and AOC are being priced as the leading Democratic combination. On the Republican side, JD Vance leads with Marco Rubio as the favoured running mate. There's also a live market on whether the next president will be a woman — currently at 22% Yes.

These are multi-year positions. The smart money is moving now, well before the first primary. This is where you get the longest runway on political prediction markets.

manifoldkalshi
103Markets

2028 Presidential Election

The 2028 Presidential Election markets are moving. Join the discussion.