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2028 Presidential Election lobby background

Lobby

2028 Presidential Election

Lobby Cap

3,098,197,906

93%

Transactions

294,726

Markets

105

Shown: 8 of 105

Stats

Overall Sentiment

26%

74%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

74,135,724

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

10,224,374

Active Users

66,779

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshimanifoldpolymarket

Recent trades of $500+ in the last 7 days

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$590.30

on

NO

$0.79

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$700.00

on

YES

$0.14

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$501.98

on

NO

$0.79

Will Jamie Dimon be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$2,823.06

on

NO

$1.00

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$521.39

on

YES

$0.16

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$1,111.00

on

NO

$0.99

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$504.42

on

YES

$0.14

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$835.00

on

NO

$0.98

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?

$1,667.08

on

NO

$0.98

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$995.30

on

YES

$0.08

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$896.55

on

YES

$0.09

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$1,648.56

on

YES

$0.08

Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

$598.61

on

NO

$0.99

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1,499.45

on

YES

$0.15

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$882.59

on

YES

$0.17

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

$738.53

on

NO

$0.84

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1,000.00

on

YES

$0.04

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$4,500.00

on

YES

$0.14

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1,681.83

on

YES

$0.13

Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

$843.54

on

NO

$0.96

The 2028 Presidential Election lobby is already one of the most actively traded long-range markets on the platform. With the 2026 midterms shaping the political landscape, traders are positioning years ahead of Election Day — and the markets are already pricing serious candidates on both sides.

Democrats lead 61% to 39% for the party win outright. On the ticket markets, Gavin Newsom and AOC are being priced as the leading Democratic combination. On the Republican side, JD Vance leads with Marco Rubio as the favoured running mate. There's also a live market on whether the next president will be a woman — currently at 22% Yes.

These are multi-year positions. The smart money is moving now, well before the first primary. This is where you get the longest runway on political prediction markets.

kalshimanifoldpolymarket
105Markets

2028 Presidential Election

The 2028 Presidential Election markets are moving. Join the discussion.