Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

$55,223 volume on Manifold

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Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

11.8%$0.12

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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? — December 31, 2027 56¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — In 2026 — Above 120 98¢
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? — 5-6 53¢
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars? — Yes 51%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? — Yes 31¢

Selected BetWill Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$55.2K

Yes

11.8%

No

88.2%

No whale trades found for this event.