Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?

$10,663 volume on Manifold

Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →

manifold

Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?

18.2%$0.18

Loading chart...

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? — December 31, 2027 60¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — In 2026 — Above 120 99¢
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? — 5-6 59¢
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars? — Yes 51%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? — Yes 31¢

Selected BetWill Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$10.7K

Yes

18.2%

No

81.8%

No whale trades found for this event.