How many government employees will Trump cut? — In 2026
$19,786 volume on Kalshi
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How this market resolves
Rules for the outcome “More than 100,000”. Every other outcome on this page resolves on its own criteria.
If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi rules
Related events
- Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026 — Yes 24% · Same question on Manifold
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — In 2026 — Yes 95¢
- Fed Decision in October? — No change 83¢
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 96¢
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 82¢
Selected BetMore than 100,000
Trading via Kalshi
Market Volume$7.0K
Yes
No