Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
$6,098 volume on Manifold
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Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
4.2%$0.04
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How this market resolves
2025 saw unprecedented impacts to the federal workforce. Will 2026 bring similar results? I will subtract the January 2026 reading of federal employee count from the January 2027 reading using the FRED federal employee counts given here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 If the difference exceeds 100,000 the answer resolves yes, and no otherwise.
Source: Manifold rules
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Selected BetWill Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
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Trading via ManifoldMarket Volume$6.1K
Yes
No