Lobby

Business & Financials

Lobby Cap

59,077,918

344%

Transactions

1,799

Lobby

Business & Financials

Hot right now

Manifold

Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?

Yes

$48.58K Vol

78%

$48.58K Vol

22%

$48,576

Markets

Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?

Yes

78%

22%

$48,576

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page64%

Sergey Brin33%

$46,121

Who will be the world's second trillionaire? — Before Jan 1, 2033

Mark Zuckerberg21%

Jensen Huang17%

$38,641

3rd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin47%

Warren Buffett43%

$24,935

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes

85%

15%

$23,787

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? — Before 2040

Ramp82%

Brex3%

$23,464

Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO? — Before 2030

Doug Petno36%

Jennifer Piepszak24%

$21,973

Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

Yes

86%

14%

$21,452

Shown: 8 of 40

Stats

Overall Sentiment

48%

52%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

248,949

Transactions Amount

Open Interest

66,619

Active Users

6,308

Events

Market Providers

Stats

Overall Sentiment

48%

52%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

248,949

Transactions Amount

Open Interest

66,619

Active Users

6,308

Events

Market Providers

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

$1,197.00

$0.97

Polymarket

54m ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

$1,197.00

$0.97

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

$1,482.47

$0.09

Polymarket

12h ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

$1,482.47

$0.09

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

$2,087.91

YES

$0.83

Polymarket

YES

1d ago

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

$2,087.91

YES

$0.83

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

$1,025.77

YES

$0.81

Polymarket

YES

3d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

$1,025.77

YES

$0.81

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

$1,190.26

YES

$0.80

Polymarket

YES

3d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

$1,190.26

YES

$0.80

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

$3,776.76

$0.94

Polymarket

3d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

$3,776.76

$0.94

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

$1,050.34

YES

$0.28

Polymarket

YES

6d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

$1,050.34

YES

$0.28

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

$1,567.00

$0.46

Polymarket

6d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

$1,567.00

$0.46

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

$1,831.96

YES

$0.19

Polymarket

YES

7d ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

$1,831.96

YES

$0.19

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

$1,846.44

$0.92

Polymarket

8d ago

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

$1,846.44

$0.92

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

$2,449.20

$0.91

Polymarket

11d ago

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

$2,449.20

$0.91

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

$1,418.45

$0.94

Polymarket

11d ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

$1,418.45

$0.94

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

$1,451.60

$0.95

Polymarket

11d ago

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

$1,451.60

$0.95

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?

$1,069.14

$0.93

Polymarket

11d ago

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?

$1,069.14

$0.93

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

$1,707.25

$0.68

Polymarket

12d ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

$1,707.25

$0.68

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

$4,874.64

$0.73

Polymarket

12d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

$4,874.64

$0.73

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$5,535.20

YES

$0.40

Polymarket

YES

12d ago

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$5,535.20

YES

$0.40

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$1,890.52

$0.41

Polymarket

14d ago

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$1,890.52

$0.41

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$3,046.92

$0.42

Polymarket

16d ago

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$3,046.92

$0.42

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

$1,160.92

$0.82

Polymarket

16d ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

$1,160.92

$0.82

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

$1,197.00

$0.97

Polymarket

54m ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

$1,197.00

$0.97

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

$1,482.47

$0.09

Polymarket

12h ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

$1,482.47

$0.09

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

$2,087.91

YES

$0.83

Polymarket

YES

1d ago

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

$2,087.91

YES

$0.83

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

$1,025.77

YES

$0.81

Polymarket

YES

3d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

$1,025.77

YES

$0.81

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

$1,190.26

YES

$0.80

Polymarket

YES

3d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

$1,190.26

YES

$0.80

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

$3,776.76

$0.94

Polymarket

3d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

$3,776.76

$0.94

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

$1,050.34

YES

$0.28

Polymarket

YES

6d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

$1,050.34

YES

$0.28

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

$1,567.00

$0.46

Polymarket

6d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

$1,567.00

$0.46

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

$1,831.96

YES

$0.19

Polymarket

YES

7d ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

$1,831.96

YES

$0.19

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

$1,846.44

$0.92

Polymarket

8d ago

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

$1,846.44

$0.92

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

$2,449.20

$0.91

Polymarket

11d ago

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

$2,449.20

$0.91

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

$1,418.45

$0.94

Polymarket

11d ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

$1,418.45

$0.94

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

$1,451.60

$0.95

Polymarket

11d ago

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

$1,451.60

$0.95

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?

$1,069.14

$0.93

Polymarket

11d ago

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?

$1,069.14

$0.93

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

$1,707.25

$0.68

Polymarket

12d ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

$1,707.25

$0.68

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

$4,874.64

$0.73

Polymarket

12d ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

$4,874.64

$0.73

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$5,535.20

YES

$0.40

Polymarket

YES

12d ago

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$5,535.20

YES

$0.40

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$1,890.52

$0.41

Polymarket

14d ago

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$1,890.52

$0.41

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$3,046.92

$0.42

Polymarket

16d ago

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

$3,046.92

$0.42

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

$1,160.92

$0.82

Polymarket

16d ago

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

$1,160.92

$0.82

40Markets

Business & Financials

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