Will the winner of the 2028 U.S. presidential election be taller than the runner-up?
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How this market resolves
Resolution criteria The 2028 U.S. presidential election will be held on November 7, 2028. This market resolves YES if the winner is taller than the runner-up (second-place finisher in the Electoral College), and NO otherwise. In the event of a tie in the electoral college, the winner is the person selected by Congress, and the runner-up is the other tied vote getter. Outlandish edge cases will be resolved based on my own common sense of “winner” and “runner-up” of the election itself (as opposed to any ensuing power struggle). Height will be determined by my review of reliable public information. I plan to defer to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heights_of_presidents_and_presidential_candidates_of_the_United_States, unless there is clear evidence of error or vandalism. If the heights are so close that in my opinion they cannot be differentiated, this market resolves 50-50.
Source: Manifold rules
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