If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

$116,039 volume on Manifold

Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →

manifold

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

9.0%$0.09

Loading chart...

Fed Decision in October? — No change 92¢
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? — In 2026 — Yes 94¢
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — On Oct 28, 2026 — Fed maintains rate 93¢
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — In 2026 — Exactly 0 cuts 94¢
Largest Company end of December 2026? — NVIDIA 60¢

Selected BetIf Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$116.0K

Yes

9.0%

No

91.0%

No whale trades found for this event.