If the Republican candidate for president loses in 2028, will they deny the election result?
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How this market resolves
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to YES if a Republican presidential candidate who loses the 2028 election explicitly refuses to concede defeat and/or makes public statements claiming the election was fraudulent, stolen, or otherwise illegitimate after the results are clear. The market will resolve to NO if the Republican candidate concedes defeat in a timely manner after the election results are clear, without making claims that the election was fraudulent or illegitimate. For resolution purposes: Clear statements from the candidate themselves will be the primary evidence The market will not resolve until at least one week after Election Day to allow time for the situation to develop If the Republican candidate initially contests but later concedes before the Electoral College meets, this will still resolve as YES If the Republican candidate wins the 2028 election, this market will resolve as N/A I will use my judgement to determine whether statements constitute denial of election results, considering the context and substance of the claims. Edge cases will be resolved according to my judgement.
Source: Manifold rules
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