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Will there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?

$266 volume
manifold
Will there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?
54.4%$0.54
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Selected BetWill there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?
M
Trading via Manifold
Market Volume$266
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
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