
Will IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027? (AI boom?)
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How this market resolves
IPO markets are due to thaw soon after a cool 2022-2023, following an unprecedented all time high in 2021 with 1,000+ IPOs. The hype around AI and new companies has drawn comparisons to the Dotcom Boom of the 1990s. A key indicator will be the pace of companies heading to IPO. IPOs in the Dotcom Boom exceeded 300 nearly every year (except 1998, 267) from 1992-2000, when the bubble popped. Since then, only 2004, 2014, and 2020 & 2021 (pandemic boom) have exceeded 300 IPOs. Please see relevant tables below for details. [image][image][image]Given the IPOs already in the pipeline, the AI boom and market conditions: Will there be a year where IPO count exceeds 300 between 2024 and 2027?
Source: Manifold rules
Related events
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027? — Viking Therapeutics 11¢
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? — SpaceX 89¢
- IPOs before 2027? — Anthropic 90¢
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? — ↑$1.5T 74¢
- Richest person on December 31, 2026? — Elon Musk 96¢







