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Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?

$95,171 volume
manifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
67.6%$0.68
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Selected BetConditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
M
Trading via Manifold
Yes$95.2K Vol
67.6%
No$95.2K Vol
32.4%
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