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Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?

$95,181 volume
manifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
67.8%$0.68
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Selected BetConditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
M
Trading via Manifold
Market Volume$95.2K
Yes
67.8%
No
32.2%
Trade
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