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Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?

$81,184 volume
manifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
38.3%$0.38
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Selected BetConditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
M
Trading via Manifold
Market Volume$81.2K
Yes
38.3%
No
61.7%
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