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Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?

$80,802 volume
manifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
25.8%$0.26
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Selected BetConditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
M
Trading via Manifold
Yes$80.8K Vol
25.8%
No$80.8K Vol
74.2%
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