Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?

$22,417 volume on Manifold

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Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?

94.0%$0.94

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Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 50¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 47%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
AI bubble burst by...? — June 30, 2027 23¢

Selected BetWill the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$22.4K

Yes

94.0%

No

6.0%

No whale trades found for this event.