Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

$30,323 volume on Manifold

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Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

8.3%$0.08

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Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 44¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 47%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
OpenAI IPO by...? — June 30, 2027 35¢

Selected BetWill the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$30.3K

Yes

8.3%

No

91.7%

No whale trades found for this event.