Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

$25,276 volume on Manifold

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Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

9.3%$0.09

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Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 50¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 48%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
AI bubble burst by...? — June 30, 2027 21¢

Selected BetWill Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$25.3K

Yes

9.3%

No

90.7%

No whale trades found for this event.