Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?
$24,010 volume on Manifold
Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →
Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?
7.5%$0.08
Loading chart...
Related events
- Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 47¢
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 48%
- Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
- Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
- AI bubble burst by...? — June 30, 2027 21¢
Selected BetWill misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?
M
Trading via ManifoldMarket Volume$24.0K
Yes
No







