Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
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How this market resolves
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund mass distribution of azithromycin on or before December 31, 2026. Or if an azithromycin distribution charity is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline. This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation. It resolves "No" otherwise. The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the "mass distribution of azithromycin" row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it. Azithromycin can be distributed for the purpose of child mortality reduction or other purposes. The funds must go towards mass distribution of azithromycin, not a charity that largely does other work. -- Note -- Can you find issues with this question -- Background -- GiveWell has recommended grants to over 10 charities over the years. They are currently investigating ~12 charity areas with…
Source: Manifold rules — excerpt of the text the venue publishes.