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Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

$10,389,005 volume
manifold
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
96.0%$0.96
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Selected BetWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
M
Trading via Manifold
Market Volume$10.39M
Yes
96.0%
No
4.0%
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