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Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

$10,490,355 volume on Manifold

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Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
96.0%$0.96
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Selected BetWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
M
Trading via Manifold
Market Volume$10.49M
Yes
96.0%
No
4.0%
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