Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

$61,823 volume on Manifold

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Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

97.0%$0.97

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Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 50¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 49%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
AI bubble burst by...? — June 30, 2027 21¢

Selected BetWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$61.8K

Yes

97.0%

No

3.0%

No whale trades found for this event.