Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

$61,549 volume on Manifold

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Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

96.7%$0.97

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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 50%
Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 44¢
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
OpenAI IPO by...? — June 30, 2027 38¢

Selected BetWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$61.5K

Yes

96.7%

No

3.3%

No whale trades found for this event.