Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

$223,866 volume on Manifold

Prices here are free to read and need no account. A free account lets you bookmark this market, follow the traders moving it, and opt in to the weekly digest. We never hold funds or place trades.Create a free account →

manifold

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

93.0%$0.93

Loading chart...

Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 44¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 48%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
OpenAI IPO by...? — June 30, 2027 35¢

Selected BetWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

M

Trading via Manifold

Market Volume$223.9K

Yes

93.0%

No

7.0%

No whale trades found for this event.