Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

$864,993 volume on Manifold

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17.1%$0.17

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Best AI at the end of 2026? — On Dec 31, 2026 — Claude 44¢
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — Yes 47%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? — Yes 6%
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100 — Yes 14%
OpenAI IPO by...? — June 30, 2027 35¢

Selected BetWill AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

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Market Volume$865.0K

Yes

17.1%

82.9%

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Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

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